リチウム採掘市場：2023–2032年、CAGR4.6％で成長見込み – 主要メーカーとサプライヤー

The lithium mining market continues its upward trend, reaching a market size of US$1,353 million in 2023. It is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.6% to reach approximately US$2,028.07 million by 2032. This sustained growth is driven by accelerating demand for lithium-ion batteries, which account for more than 70% of lithium consumption, and the global trend toward electrification, particularly in the automotive and energy storage sectors.

Lithium mining from brine or hard rock is of strategic importance in the transition to renewable energy. Lithium is a lightweight, high-energy-density metal that is essential in current battery technology. Additionally, recycling and the adoption of direct lithium extraction (DLE) technologies are increasingly addressing sustainability.

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Market Overview and Regional Analysis

The Lithium Triangle (Argentina, Bolivia, and Chile) accounts for 55% of salt lake lithium production, while Australia has established a leadership position in hard rock mining, primarily spodumene. China controls 60% of refining capacity, and policymakers in North America and Europe are rushing to address supply chain risks, including through the US Inflation Reduction Act (IRA).

The Asia-Pacific region accounts for 80% of global lithium consumption, driven by China's battery gigafactories. North America is also emerging as a growth market, with strategic investments underway in Thacker Pass in Nevada and hard rock mining projects in Quebec.

Market Drivers and Opportunities

The market is driven by three megatrends:

1. EV penetration rate of over 15% per year

2. Grid-scale energy storage deployment at a CAGR of 30%

3. Consumer electronics requiring high performance batteries

By application, batteries accounted for 76%, followed by ceramics and glass at 14%.

Growth opportunities include direct lithium extraction (DLE) technology, which can achieve 90% recovery rates compared to 50% in traditional evaporation ponds, geothermal salt lake projects in Europe, and offshore mining exploration. The increased localization of supply chains also increases the investment potential for midstream processing facilities outside China.

Challenges and Constraints

• Discussion on water resource use in arid regions

• Indigenous land rights disputes

• 2-3 year licensing delays in democratic regions

Price volatility remains significant, with the spot price of lithium carbonate fluctuating by 400% between 2021 and 2023. Furthermore, technological risks exist as sodium-ion batteries and solid-state batteries continue to advance in commercialization.

Market Segmentation

By type:

• Brine

• Hard Rock (Spodumene)

• Clay

• others

By use:

• Batteries (EV, ESS, consumer)

• Ceramic and glass

• lubricating grease

• polymer

• Other industrial applications

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Major companies and the competitive environment

• Albemarle Corporation

• SQM

• Livent Corporation

• Tianqi Lithium

• Jiangxi Ganfeng

• Pilbara Minerals

• Mineral Resources

• Sigma Lithium

• Allkem Limited

• Core Lithium

• Liontown Resources

• Vulcan Energy

• Piedmont Lithium

• E3 Lithium

• Lithium Americas

Major players maintain competitive positions based on resource endowments, ore grades, mining methods, recovery rates, offtake agreements and capital plans, and are focused on geopolitical risks and technology differentiation strategies.

Report Scope

• Global and Regional Market Trend Analysis (2024–2032)

• Forecast of production capacity expansion and supply-demand gap

• The current status of DLE and recycling technology adoption

• Policy frameworks affecting supply security

• Detailed profiles of major companies, and their technology and capital strategies

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